Sold SCC @ ₱175.20, WLCON @ ₱8.58, SECB @ ₱260.40

Sold some of my holdings in SCC @ ₱175.20 and WLCON @ ₱8.58 yesterday. I also sold some SECB @ ₱260.40 earlier today. The SECB I sold included what I mistakenly bought for ₱252.20 and some shares I bought last year.

I really like SCC for their earnings and the consistent cash dividends, however the price seemed a bit high. I’ll try to buy it again if the price lowers a bit. WLCON was a bit high, and it went even higher after I sold, but selling at around 68% above IPO is good enough for me.

Bought BLFI @ ₱3.96 which I intend to accumulate as long as the price stays low enough. My only concerns for this stock is the low trading volumes and its P/E of around 15 isn’t cheap. Its div yield of around 5% (at its current price) is great though. It typically ex-divs around the 1st week of March, payable at the end of March.

Still looking at LR, which maybe I should have bought earlier today before the price spiked to ₱4.32. Also looking into FGEN at ₱17.10 (52 wk low) which looks like a good price to buy it. PIP @ ₱2.90 and PBB @ ₱13.20 also look like good buys.

I should really start putting down the steps I use in deciding whether or not to buy and sell a stock and then continually improve it. Maybe I should put it in a flowchart. Typical steps I use are:

  • Is it relatively cheap in terms of its current P/E? B/V?
  • Does it give good cash dividends and its dividend history?
  • Earnings trends
  • How is the management team and reputation?
  • Price trends for the past week, month, 3 months, year, 2 years and 5 years.

Sold MEG @ ₱4.80, Mistakenly bought SECB @ ₱252.20

I sold some MEG today as I want to risk manage a bit. I was trying to sell some SECB but mistakenly bought as I was in a rush before my train was going into a tunnel and was afraid I might lose cell signal. Crap.

I think SECB is a bit high at that price and wanted to sell so I could buy some other shares on my watchlist I posted on previously (e.g. BLFI @ ₱3.94, LR, RFM, FLI… or even SHNG or ABA). At its closing price of ₱252.00, P/E is 22.42, with a P/B of 1.84 (courtesy of MS Money). That’s a bit too close to BDO (20.37 and 1.97) and BPI’s (17.89 and 2.43) valuations… I mean why not just buy the better valuations of MBT or CHIB right? Hence why I wanted to sell some. I’m just going to cross my fingers for now and hope it goes up a bit for me to sell… or it do what my MWIDE did when I also made the mistake of buying instead of selling.

The past few days have been pretty bad on my portfolio and I think I’m just up by around 22.90% on my principal with an XIRR of 13.95%… (if my calculations are correct) so maybe I’m not doing as bad as I thought.

Bought ALCO @ ₱1.01

So I bought ALCO at ₱1.01 yesterday… just before it crashed by almost 7% today. Sucks I know.

I haven’t done a recent XIRR but I’m around just 24% up from my capital/principal.

It’s been a bloodbath with recent IPOs, from SHLPH at around -4%, EAGLE at -0.8%, CLC at almost -8%, and CLI at around -3.4%. The only saving grace amongst IPOs is WLCON that’s up by around 63% (lower than its peak, but quite a gain nonetheless).

I’ve been unable to buy DDPR nor SMC2F since they’re both a bit high now.

I’m currently looking at FGEN (17.40), GTCAP (1168), HLCM (12.90), HOUSE (5.43), JGS (69.45), LR (4.19) and RFM (4.40).

Bought PIP for ₱3.16 on Aug 3, 2017

Bought some PIP for ₱3.16 on Aug 3 as the price is pretty low compared to its revenue. I also tried buying some RFM but no one matched at the price I bid… same with DDPR. I’ll just wait then. To quote W. Buffet, “What’s nice about investing is you don’t have to swing at pitches… No umpire is going to call you out. You can wait for the pitch you want.”

I’m also looking at LR as it has gone down considerably (approx 14%) since I last bought it a week or two ago.

I’m a bit surprised that the price of MEG didn’t go down even though the US Dems are proposing a bill on taxing US organizations that outsource. Maybe investors don’t see it affecting the Philippine economy.

I also tried selling most of my EDC at near its peak on Friday (Aug 4) but no one bit.

 

Bought CLC IPO, FDC @ ₱7.60, COSCO @ ₱7.79, HOUSE @ ₱5.92

In the past week I was able to obtain a few shares of the upcoming CLC IPO (@ ₱10.68), which in hindsight and totally basing on the P/E, looks quite expensive. Nevertheless, it’s just a few shares and maybe it will do a DD which I once held at around ₱4 before selling at around ₱5.

I also bought some FDC @ ₱7.60, COSCO @ ₱7.79,  and HOUSE @ ₱5.92. I think FDC is undervalued given how much EW has increased its profits (and will likely continue to do so… it also isn’t a ‘treasury’ bank). COSCO is a retail play which hasn’t budged much despite of PGOLD’s movement. HOUSE is a cash dividend play.

I’ve gained around 2.2% cash on my principal in the 7 months of this year (note not p.a.) as a number of companies I hold are cash dividend plays. But then again, more companies seem to give out cash dividends in the first half than the second half of the year.

I’m at a wait and see on HLCM since its profits dropped significantly and there is a lot of competition in the cement business within the next 3-5 years.

I’m still looking at getting more PIP, RFM and probably SMC2F (which has an optional redemption date of around Sep 2022).

Bought LR@₱4.88 and more SPC@₱4.55

I bought more SPC yesterday at ₱4.55 and today I bought LR at ₱4.88.

I bid on some BLFI and some SMC2F but they weren’t matched. SMC2F returns an annualized 5.7% net at its current price of ₱80.55, which is ever so slightly higher than DDPR. In hindsight, I should have tried to get DDPR since I was unable to get SMC2F.

SHLPH is slightly below IPO price. I’ve held on to it because of Shell’s dividend policy. I’m not so sure about holding on to EAGLE as the cement industry may have a glut in the next few years. The Philippine’s infrastructure play is ever so slooowly progressing. CLI still looks good. ALCO is starting to look like a bargain.

I’m still looking into getting more COSCO, PIP, HOUSE, FDC and RFM. I’ve also requested to get a few shares of CLC from my broker.

 

 

Buys since April 17, 2017

I apparently haven’t written in more than two months.

The title is on ‘buys’ since the country I currently reside in (I live outside the Philippines) makes us report global income, hence I would need to report all the cash divs minus the tax that have been withheld in the Philippines (as it has a tax treaty with the country where I live). It also inhibits (whether in a good way or bad) all my sell transactions. I need to really think before pulling the trigger on a ‘sell’ as I would get hit with a capital gains tax.

As per my last post, I was thinking of buying FGEN and IMI. I bought both, buying FGEN @ ₱21.00 and IMI @ ₱7.90 a few days later. Since then, and compared to today’s price, FGEN is down by around 11.8%, while IMI is up by a whopping 71.4%.

I have also bought CHIB rights (as per previous posts), and the IPO’s of both EAGLE (up by around 7.8%) and CLI (up by around 9.9%).

I have bought AP twice as I’m steadily accumulating the stock, @₱40.05 and @₱39.75. The stock closed today @₱38.65 so I’m a few percentage points down.

I completely missed the bus on ROX. I was trying to get a hold of it in the ₱2.85 range in late April but wasn’t able to acquire it and it’s now around ₱5.00.

Today, I also bought some more CHIB @₱36.85 (as it just got a ratings upgrade from Moody’s) and MPI @₱6.27 (as I think it got a good deal for the extra stake in Meralco and Global Power).

Been checking out PHN the past few days, but it just went up by 4.1% today which makes me wonder if I should still watch it at that price. HLCM’s drop also seems a bit too much. BLFI, COSCO, PIP and RFM are also on my current watchlist.

I’m glad I wasn’t able to sell WLCON, as I was planning to sell in the mid ₱5’s (for around a 10% gain), and it’s now at ₱7.95 (or around 56% up from IPO).

 

 

 

Sold GLO @ ₱2022, mistakenly bought MWIDE @ ₱17.72

So… I was supposed to sell some MWIDE… BUT, with the platform I’m using one could easily make a mistake of buying instead of selling… sooo… I bought some MWIDE even though I was intending to sell some, given that it was just at ₱14.88 a few weeks back (Mar 6, 2017). I’m crossing my fingers (and being irrational) that this will be a re-run of when I mistakenly bought TUGS instead of selling it a few months back. TUGS went up probably double of what I made… but I had sold it by that time. For a while MWIDE was trading at ₱17.80 after I bought it… but it closed at ₱17.50. Oh well. Maybe I’ll just hold on to it for the long term.

Sold some Globe Telecom at ₱2022 (it closed ten pesos above that) as it was just ₱1479 on Dec 28, 2016… had to lock in some gains, aside from it being right after the quarterly cash divs of GLO (paid earlier in Mar).  GLO quarterly cash divs were at ₱22.75 / share last time around, which gives around a 4.5% p.a. yield @ ₱2000 / share.

Also received some cash divs of MWC (of 0.4244 / share) today. MWC typically gives out cash divs twice a year in Mar and Oct. Yield is approximately 2.7% p.a.

Sold LTG, Bought ALCO, CPG, MPI, WLCON, and SGI

Sold half of my LTG shares for ₱14.90 back in Mar 22 that in hindsight might not have been the best thing to do (it closed at ₱16.08 today), especially since my net gain was just slightly over 3% for holding a stock for more than three months. This is below my IRR of greater than 11%. I guess I just thought that it’s better to gain rather than see and wait for a stock in case it goes below purchase price. I did hold on to my other half of shares which is currently showing a paper gain of around over 19%.

As I said in previous posts on what I was planning to purchase, in the past week I bought some more ALCO @ ₱1.38, CPG @ ₱0.495, MPI @ ₱6.12 and SGI @ ₱1.39.

Looking at HLCM the past few days, but it went up 3.2% today, so I might hold off… or maybe buy at the higher price. May sell some GLO or MWIDE as I’d need to get ready for the stock rights of CHIB (to be priced on Apr 6, offered from Apr 24 to May 5, with a tentative listing date of May 10).

Excited about the WLCON listing tomorrow. Got a very limited amount of shares. Read somewhere it was 3x oversubscribed. At the offer price though, the price was quite dear. Let’s see how the market thinks about it tomorrow.

PHN ex-divs tomorrow, payment is supposed to be on Apr 21. Also received my PX cash div of ₱0.04 / share and BEL’s cash div of ₱0.095 / share recently (PX’s cash div yield is so low I’m not going to even try to compute it, BEL’s is around 2.3%).

Bought SMPH @ ₱28.75 and DMC @ ₱12.06

Bought some additional SMPH and DMC on March 16th, adding to the SMPH I had bought in mid-Oct last year (@₱26.90) and averaging down the DMCs I bought in Jan 2015 (@ ₱14.68) and Feb 2017 (@₱13.06).

After selling some ALCO @₱1.48, wondering if I had made a mistake not getting back in @₱1.38 (as it’s now at ₱1.42).

In terms of wondering about mistakes, maybe I should have sold some Shell at its peak of around ₱80.00 now that its around 9% lower than that. My thinking was that its expected that Shell will have an attractive dividend policy. Something that I haven’t read any updates on, just yet, since the IPO.

Also looking into getting some Wilcon IPO and CPG @ ₱0.50.