Bought and sold since Nov 1, 2017

The following are the buys and sells I had in November. I’ll take on received dividends in another post (there were just 4 cash divs, and 1 stock div).

Bought the following shares in Nov 2017:

  • 6: FNI @ ₱3.01
  • 6: NIKL @ ₱7.47
  • 10: CHIB @ ₱33.50
  • 13: PBB @ ₱12.00
  • 22: MBT @ ₱94.20

Sold the following shares in Nov 2017:

  • 10: RFM @ ₱5.00
  • 28: ROCK @ ₱2.36
  • 29: SPC @ ₱6.60

Bought the following shares in Dec 2017:

  • 1: FGENG @ ₱115.70
  • 5: SECB @ ₱242.60
  • 5: SPC @ ₱5.50

I’m still trying my best not to sell my gains. SPC was just too tempting not to sell some of my holdings.

Been watching some Marvin Germo and he had a great vlog post here with other financial planners, like Fitz Villafuerte and Ryan de Vera which I’ll add to the links.

Year to date, my XIRR is only up by 14.25% which is close to my annual average gain in the past 5 years, but definitely way below the PSEi’s 20+% increase this year.

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Bought and sold since Oct 8, 2017

Bought a couple of orgs and sold one since my last post. Bought the following shares on the following dates in October (some of which were very small odd lot orders to even out my holdings):

  • 13: MRSGI @ ₱4.24
  • 17: CNPF @ ₱15.40
  • 18: JFC @ ₱245.20
  • 18: BLFI @ ₱3.93
  • 19: LR @ ₱4.03
  • 19: SCC @ ₱41.00
  • 19: SMC2F @ ₱81.50
  • 30: ALCPB @ ₱108.00

Started to buy some ALCPB as an alternative to DDPR and the SMC preferred shares. At ₱108.00, net yield p.a. (for Filipino citizens) should be around 5.8%.

In November I bought the following shares on the following dates, just as in October, some were very small odd lot orders:

  • 6: NIKL @ ₱7.47
  • 6: FNI @ ₱3.01
  • 10: CHIB @ ₱33.50
  • 10: MBT @ ₱94.00
  • 13: PBB @ ₱12.00

The only shares I sold since the last post was RFM @ ₱5.00. I sold shares I bought back in Aug 2016 (more than a year ago) @ ₱4.27. I made around 15.3% for that sale. Approximately around my 5-year XIRR of around 14% p.a. For comparison, the PSE index as a whole has returned around 25% from the start of the year. I haven’t done an analysis on my portfolio’s numbers, but that’s an idea. I think I’m far off from beating the market this year (note: I checked and I’m around 19% up YTD).

I’m trying to not sell anything even though I think the market is pretty high (the PSEi is around 22 p/e right now I believe). Mostly because of smarting from selling some SMPH, and WLCON before their peaks and also not being able to pick up SECB @ around ₱244.

I should have sold CEB when it was around ₱108.00 and above. I’m still thinking if I should sell some IMI @ around ₱21.50.

Stocks on my quite long buy watchlist are the following:

  • ALCO @ ₱0.95
  • AP @ ₱41.10 (seems like this is always on my watchlist)
  • BLFI @ ₱3.84
  • CHIB @ ₱33.50 (another one that’s always on my watchlist)
  • CLC @ ₱9.24
  • CPG @ ₱0.50
  • DD @ ₱31.07
  • ELI @ ₱0.66
  • FLI @ ₱1.94
  • FPH @ ₱61.90
  • GTCAP @ ₱1172.00
  • LR @ ₱3.73
  • PHN @ ₱9.50
  • PIP @ ₱2.64
  • VUL @ ₱0.95
  • X @ ₱4.55

I’m still wondering if SHLPH will announce cash dividends early next year.

I’ll post about October cash dividends received some time this month.

 

Bought FDC @ ₱7.79

Bought more FDC yesterday @ ₱7.79. Funny that due to the capital gains taxes of the country where I reside, I’m really held back from selling any shares. I’m quite tempted to sell some as I think I can time some shares. Yes, I can fall into that trap of ‘timing’ that most ‘investors’ think they can do, but most cannot… though then again my track record has shown I’ve been successful with it a majority of the time. Which reminds me of, ‘Where Are the Customers’ Yachts?‘ and Buffett telling that story about trading and waiting for the right pitch… and if you keep on trading you’ll be making the broker richer and you poorer.

I want to sell as the cash holdings I now have are pretty low, and I want to be ready to buy when prices go back down. Admittedly though, I made a wrong call by selling some shares on both SMPH and SCC. I still hold some shares in both though.

 

Bought GMA7@₱6.05

Bought some GMA7@₱6.05 today (it closed 2 centavos lower at ₱6.03). Hoping that they would continue on:

  • giving good cash dividends and
  • their streak of increasing earnings/share.

Its current P/E is around 10.4 (around its 5 year low of 10.29), P/B of 2.4, YTD net income is up 70+% but its Q/Q (last year) net income is down -48%.

I’m thinking SHLPH should declare cash dividends in the next few months and if only it didn’t already have a good portion of my portfolio, I’d buy some more.

Bought LR@₱4.50, EDC@₱5.86, and AEV@₱74.05

Bought LR on Sep 14, EDC on Sep 29, and AEV on Oct 2.

Buying EDC at this time is a gamble, but it’s a gamble I’m willing to take as I don’t think the price should be this low. The price has gone down a few percentages points since I bought it, and I might buy it again.

Received a net of around 0.297% of my principal from cash dividends in September (equal to around 3.56% p.a.). I’ll write about the received cash dividends in an upcoming post.

Bought BLFI @ ₱3.96, RFM @ ₱4.31

Bought some BLFI @ ₱3.96 last Friday (Aug 18) and RFM @ ₱4.31 earlier today.

Also received cash dividends from JGS for a total of ₱0.28/share last Aug 11 and CNPF yesterday for total of ₱0.18/share.

I should have bought LR when I had the chance. Looking into SPC and possibly FGEN.

It would be a good time to send some money to the Philippines now as the exchange rates are pretty good for OFW’s. It would also be a good time as the PSEi typically consolidates or is in negative territory around this time of year, meaning the next few months may be a good time to buy.

Sold SCC @ ₱175.20, WLCON @ ₱8.58, SECB @ ₱260.40

Sold some of my holdings in SCC @ ₱175.20 and WLCON @ ₱8.58 yesterday. I also sold some SECB @ ₱260.40 earlier today. The SECB I sold included what I mistakenly bought for ₱252.20 and some shares I bought last year.

I really like SCC for their earnings and the consistent cash dividends, however the price seemed a bit high. I’ll try to buy it again if the price lowers a bit. WLCON was a bit high, and it went even higher after I sold, but selling at around 68% above IPO is good enough for me.

Bought BLFI @ ₱3.96 which I intend to accumulate as long as the price stays low enough. My only concerns for this stock is the low trading volumes and its P/E of around 15 isn’t cheap. Its div yield of around 5% (at its current price) is great though. It typically ex-divs around the 1st week of March, payable at the end of March.

Still looking at LR, which maybe I should have bought earlier today before the price spiked to ₱4.32. Also looking into FGEN at ₱17.10 (52 wk low) which looks like a good price to buy it. PIP @ ₱2.90 and PBB @ ₱13.20 also look like good buys.

I should really start putting down the steps I use in deciding whether or not to buy and sell a stock and then continually improve it. Maybe I should put it in a flowchart. Typical steps I use are:

  • Is it relatively cheap in terms of its current P/E? B/V?
  • Does it give good cash dividends and its dividend history?
  • Earnings trends
  • How is the management team and reputation?
  • Price trends for the past week, month, 3 months, year, 2 years and 5 years.

Sold MEG @ ₱4.80, Mistakenly bought SECB @ ₱252.20

I sold some MEG today as I want to risk manage a bit. I was trying to sell some SECB but mistakenly bought as I was in a rush before my train was going into a tunnel and was afraid I might lose cell signal. Crap.

I think SECB is a bit high at that price and wanted to sell so I could buy some other shares on my watchlist I posted on previously (e.g. BLFI @ ₱3.94, LR, RFM, FLI… or even SHNG or ABA). At its closing price of ₱252.00, P/E is 22.42, with a P/B of 1.84 (courtesy of MS Money). That’s a bit too close to BDO (20.37 and 1.97) and BPI’s (17.89 and 2.43) valuations… I mean why not just buy the better valuations of MBT or CHIB right? Hence why I wanted to sell some. I’m just going to cross my fingers for now and hope it goes up a bit for me to sell… or it do what my MWIDE did when I also made the mistake of buying instead of selling.

The past few days have been pretty bad on my portfolio and I think I’m just up by around 22.90% on my principal with an XIRR of 13.95%… (if my calculations are correct) so maybe I’m not doing as bad as I thought.

Bought ALCO @ ₱1.01

So I bought ALCO at ₱1.01 yesterday… just before it crashed by almost 7% today. Sucks I know.

I haven’t done a recent XIRR but I’m around just 24% up from my capital/principal.

It’s been a bloodbath with recent IPOs, from SHLPH at around -4%, EAGLE at -0.8%, CLC at almost -8%, and CLI at around -3.4%. The only saving grace amongst IPOs is WLCON that’s up by around 63% (lower than its peak, but quite a gain nonetheless).

I’ve been unable to buy DDPR nor SMC2F since they’re both a bit high now.

I’m currently looking at FGEN (17.40), GTCAP (1168), HLCM (12.90), HOUSE (5.43), JGS (69.45), LR (4.19) and RFM (4.40).