In the past week I was able to obtain a few shares of the upcoming CLC IPO (@ ₱10.68), which in hindsight and totally basing on the P/E, looks quite expensive. Nevertheless, it’s just a few shares and maybe it will do a DD which I once held at around ₱4 before selling at around ₱5.
I also bought some FDC @ ₱7.60, COSCO @ ₱7.79, and HOUSE @ ₱5.92. I think FDC is undervalued given how much EW has increased its profits (and will likely continue to do so… it also isn’t a ‘treasury’ bank). COSCO is a retail play which hasn’t budged much despite of PGOLD’s movement. HOUSE is a cash dividend play.
I’ve gained around 2.2% cash on my principal in the 7 months of this year (note not p.a.) as a number of companies I hold are cash dividend plays. But then again, more companies seem to give out cash dividends in the first half than the second half of the year.
I’m at a wait and see on HLCM since its profits dropped significantly and there is a lot of competition in the cement business within the next 3-5 years.
I’m still looking at getting more PIP, RFM and probably SMC2F (which has an optional redemption date of around Sep 2022).
I bought more SPC yesterday at ₱4.55 and today I bought LR at ₱4.88.
I bid on some BLFI and some SMC2F but they weren’t matched. SMC2F returns an annualized 5.7% net at its current price of ₱80.55, which is ever so slightly higher than DDPR. In hindsight, I should have tried to get DDPR since I was unable to get SMC2F.
SHLPH is slightly below IPO price. I’ve held on to it because of Shell’s dividend policy. I’m not so sure about holding on to EAGLE as the cement industry may have a glut in the next few years. The Philippine’s infrastructure play is ever so slooowly progressing. CLI still looks good. ALCO is starting to look like a bargain.
I’m still looking into getting more COSCO, PIP, HOUSE, FDC and RFM. I’ve also requested to get a few shares of CLC from my broker.
Sold the MWIDE I mistakenly bought two weeks ago @ ₱17.72 for ₱18.48. That just gives me a cautionary tale that I should try to give it a second thought before trading as it reminds me of Eugene Fama’s Efficient Market Hypothesis. If you aren’t familiar with it, here’s a couple of links:
It also makes me think I should have just waited for FMETF before investing in a couple of UITFs in 2012. I also invested in PHILEQT back in Dec 2014 with no gains since. But that’s another story. Glad Pinoy Money Talk is posting again about UITFs.
I also sold some MEG holdings for ₱4.05 as it has gone up quite a bit from two weeks ago and even though I believe it will still go up, I try to risk manage if I think I can use the money for another stock.
I’m currently looking into buying IMI (ex-divs today) and FGEN… aside from those I mentioned in my last post.
SHLPH share price has slowly been going down from a peak of ₱80.00 to today’s close of ₱72.45. Was hoping of selling some of my holdings at around the ₱74++ mark, the only thing that’s stopping me is that the company intends to give out 75% of its earnings as cash dividends. To make a not-so-informed analysis of that, from the ₱4.68/share (2016 earnings) would give around a 4.8% div yield at today’s price. A rate that only a handful of other shares can top.
HLCM, another stock with good div yield has also been going down, partially (and supposedly) because of the anticipated listing of Eagle Cement.
Current stocks on my watchlist to buy (aside from HLCM @₱15.02) are as follows:
- AP (₱41.30)
- ELI (₱0.66)
- FLI (₱1.63)
- GTCAP (₱1134)
- MEG (₱3.44)
- ROX (₱2.75)
Still smarting from my mistakenly buying more MWIDE @ ₱17.72, extra shares of which I’ll probably sell if it goes anywhere near today’s high of ₱18.42.
I’m seeing a couple of outlets expecting WLCON to go up to ₱6.00 pretty soon. I’ll likely get out before that to fund other underappreciated stocks as the market has been in this range of around 7140 to 7370 since it suddenly jumped during the first trading week of the year.
So… I was supposed to sell some MWIDE… BUT, with the platform I’m using one could easily make a mistake of buying instead of selling… sooo… I bought some MWIDE even though I was intending to sell some, given that it was just at ₱14.88 a few weeks back (Mar 6, 2017). I’m crossing my fingers (and being irrational) that this will be a re-run of when I mistakenly bought TUGS instead of selling it a few months back. TUGS went up probably double of what I made… but I had sold it by that time. For a while MWIDE was trading at ₱17.80 after I bought it… but it closed at ₱17.50. Oh well. Maybe I’ll just hold on to it for the long term.
Sold some Globe Telecom at ₱2022 (it closed ten pesos above that) as it was just ₱1479 on Dec 28, 2016… had to lock in some gains, aside from it being right after the quarterly cash divs of GLO (paid earlier in Mar). GLO quarterly cash divs were at ₱22.75 / share last time around, which gives around a 4.5% p.a. yield @ ₱2000 / share.
Also received some cash divs of MWC (of 0.4244 / share) today. MWC typically gives out cash divs twice a year in Mar and Oct. Yield is approximately 2.7% p.a.
Sold half of my LTG shares for ₱14.90 back in Mar 22 that in hindsight might not have been the best thing to do (it closed at ₱16.08 today), especially since my net gain was just slightly over 3% for holding a stock for more than three months. This is below my IRR of greater than 11%. I guess I just thought that it’s better to gain rather than see and wait for a stock in case it goes below purchase price. I did hold on to my other half of shares which is currently showing a paper gain of around over 19%.
As I said in previous posts on what I was planning to purchase, in the past week I bought some more ALCO @ ₱1.38, CPG @ ₱0.495, MPI @ ₱6.12 and SGI @ ₱1.39.
Looking at HLCM the past few days, but it went up 3.2% today, so I might hold off… or maybe buy at the higher price. May sell some GLO or MWIDE as I’d need to get ready for the stock rights of CHIB (to be priced on Apr 6, offered from Apr 24 to May 5, with a tentative listing date of May 10).
Excited about the WLCON listing tomorrow. Got a very limited amount of shares. Read somewhere it was 3x oversubscribed. At the offer price though, the price was quite dear. Let’s see how the market thinks about it tomorrow.
PHN ex-divs tomorrow, payment is supposed to be on Apr 21. Also received my PX cash div of ₱0.04 / share and BEL’s cash div of ₱0.095 / share recently (PX’s cash div yield is so low I’m not going to even try to compute it, BEL’s is around 2.3%).
Sold some of my holdings in Arthaland @₱1.48 that I bought back in Feb 13, 2017 for ₱1.32 which gives a net gain of around 10.8%. I think Arthaland is a good company to hold for the long haul, however I wanted to lock-in some gains and possibly use the cash to buy ALCO again in case the stock falls back to the ₱1.30+ range (it closed at ₱1.41).
I bought some EMP @ ₱6.46. It ex-divs on March 29, 2017 for ₱0.1865/share (around 2.8%). I now think it’s a bit of a long time and the share price may still go down until ex-div. EMP is one of my not too rational stocks that I hold because of what the company stands for and what it may become in the future… and I’ve been itching to buy this stock. I now remember one of those investment warnings on stopping yourself from ever falling in love with a stock, no matter how sexy it is. Oh well.
Around 20% of my portfolio is held in what I call kinda-moonshot stocks (wherein I can’t really tell when the price will pick up, if ever). Another 25% are in preferred shares or shares that give at least 5% cash div a year, with the rest of my holdings in value or high-dividend shares.
AEV, AP, TEL and the SMC preferred shares all ex-div on March 16, so last day to be in on their cash dividend tomorrow.
Received some Globe Telecom cash dividends a few days ago (March 9, 2017). At ₱22.75 per share divided by last Friday’s closing price of ₱1910.00, the dividend gives a gross annual cash dividend of around 4.7% (note that this is a fourth, as Globe typically gives out cash dividends quarterly).
Emperador’s recent price dive seems excessive if its just because of getting taken out of the index. I’m looking into getting some before the March 29, 2017 ex-dividend date. At a cash div rate of ₱0.1865 per share divided by last Friday’s (March 10, 2017) closing price of ₱6.35 would give a gross annual cash dividend of around 2.9%. I somehow don’t expect Emperador to change its dividend policy within the year, unless there was some extraordinary gain somewhere.
I’ll also start posting some quotes I like which are related to investing in one way or another.
“In a world of change, the learners shall inherit the earth, while the learned shall find themselves perfectly suited for a world that no longer exists.” – Eric Hoffer