So I bought ALCO at ₱1.01 yesterday… just before it crashed by almost 7% today. Sucks I know.
I haven’t done a recent XIRR but I’m around just 24% up from my capital/principal.
It’s been a bloodbath with recent IPOs, from SHLPH at around -4%, EAGLE at -0.8%, CLC at almost -8%, and CLI at around -3.4%. The only saving grace amongst IPOs is WLCON that’s up by around 63% (lower than its peak, but quite a gain nonetheless).
I’ve been unable to buy DDPR nor SMC2F since they’re both a bit high now.
I’m currently looking at FGEN (17.40), GTCAP (1168), HLCM (12.90), HOUSE (5.43), JGS (69.45), LR (4.19) and RFM (4.40).
In the past week I was able to obtain a few shares of the upcoming CLC IPO (@ ₱10.68), which in hindsight and totally basing on the P/E, looks quite expensive. Nevertheless, it’s just a few shares and maybe it will do a DD which I once held at around ₱4 before selling at around ₱5.
I also bought some FDC @ ₱7.60, COSCO @ ₱7.79, and HOUSE @ ₱5.92. I think FDC is undervalued given how much EW has increased its profits (and will likely continue to do so… it also isn’t a ‘treasury’ bank). COSCO is a retail play which hasn’t budged much despite of PGOLD’s movement. HOUSE is a cash dividend play.
I’ve gained around 2.2% cash on my principal in the 7 months of this year (note not p.a.) as a number of companies I hold are cash dividend plays. But then again, more companies seem to give out cash dividends in the first half than the second half of the year.
I’m at a wait and see on HLCM since its profits dropped significantly and there is a lot of competition in the cement business within the next 3-5 years.
I’m still looking at getting more PIP, RFM and probably SMC2F (which has an optional redemption date of around Sep 2022).
I apparently haven’t written in more than two months.
The title is on ‘buys’ since the country I currently reside in (I live outside the Philippines) makes us report global income, hence I would need to report all the cash divs minus the tax that have been withheld in the Philippines (as it has a tax treaty with the country where I live). It also inhibits (whether in a good way or bad) all my sell transactions. I need to really think before pulling the trigger on a ‘sell’ as I would get hit with a capital gains tax.
As per my last post, I was thinking of buying FGEN and IMI. I bought both, buying FGEN @ ₱21.00 and IMI @ ₱7.90 a few days later. Since then, and compared to today’s price, FGEN is down by around 11.8%, while IMI is up by a whopping 71.4%.
I have also bought CHIB rights (as per previous posts), and the IPO’s of both EAGLE (up by around 7.8%) and CLI (up by around 9.9%).
I have bought AP twice as I’m steadily accumulating the stock, @₱40.05 and @₱39.75. The stock closed today @₱38.65 so I’m a few percentage points down.
I completely missed the bus on ROX. I was trying to get a hold of it in the ₱2.85 range in late April but wasn’t able to acquire it and it’s now around ₱5.00.
Today, I also bought some more CHIB @₱36.85 (as it just got a ratings upgrade from Moody’s) and MPI @₱6.27 (as I think it got a good deal for the extra stake in Meralco and Global Power).
Been checking out PHN the past few days, but it just went up by 4.1% today which makes me wonder if I should still watch it at that price. HLCM’s drop also seems a bit too much. BLFI, COSCO, PIP and RFM are also on my current watchlist.
I’m glad I wasn’t able to sell WLCON, as I was planning to sell in the mid ₱5’s (for around a 10% gain), and it’s now at ₱7.95 (or around 56% up from IPO).
SHLPH share price has slowly been going down from a peak of ₱80.00 to today’s close of ₱72.45. Was hoping of selling some of my holdings at around the ₱74++ mark, the only thing that’s stopping me is that the company intends to give out 75% of its earnings as cash dividends. To make a not-so-informed analysis of that, from the ₱4.68/share (2016 earnings) would give around a 4.8% div yield at today’s price. A rate that only a handful of other shares can top.
HLCM, another stock with good div yield has also been going down, partially (and supposedly) because of the anticipated listing of Eagle Cement.
Current stocks on my watchlist to buy (aside from HLCM @₱15.02) are as follows:
- AP (₱41.30)
- ELI (₱0.66)
- FLI (₱1.63)
- GTCAP (₱1134)
- MEG (₱3.44)
- ROX (₱2.75)
Still smarting from my mistakenly buying more MWIDE @ ₱17.72, extra shares of which I’ll probably sell if it goes anywhere near today’s high of ₱18.42.
I’m seeing a couple of outlets expecting WLCON to go up to ₱6.00 pretty soon. I’ll likely get out before that to fund other underappreciated stocks as the market has been in this range of around 7140 to 7370 since it suddenly jumped during the first trading week of the year.
Sold half of my LTG shares for ₱14.90 back in Mar 22 that in hindsight might not have been the best thing to do (it closed at ₱16.08 today), especially since my net gain was just slightly over 3% for holding a stock for more than three months. This is below my IRR of greater than 11%. I guess I just thought that it’s better to gain rather than see and wait for a stock in case it goes below purchase price. I did hold on to my other half of shares which is currently showing a paper gain of around over 19%.
As I said in previous posts on what I was planning to purchase, in the past week I bought some more ALCO @ ₱1.38, CPG @ ₱0.495, MPI @ ₱6.12 and SGI @ ₱1.39.
Looking at HLCM the past few days, but it went up 3.2% today, so I might hold off… or maybe buy at the higher price. May sell some GLO or MWIDE as I’d need to get ready for the stock rights of CHIB (to be priced on Apr 6, offered from Apr 24 to May 5, with a tentative listing date of May 10).
Excited about the WLCON listing tomorrow. Got a very limited amount of shares. Read somewhere it was 3x oversubscribed. At the offer price though, the price was quite dear. Let’s see how the market thinks about it tomorrow.
PHN ex-divs tomorrow, payment is supposed to be on Apr 21. Also received my PX cash div of ₱0.04 / share and BEL’s cash div of ₱0.095 / share recently (PX’s cash div yield is so low I’m not going to even try to compute it, BEL’s is around 2.3%).